Article
Article name Development Trends of the Demographic Situation in the Trans-Baikal Region
Authors Soldatova N.V. soldatova@mintrud.e-zab.ru
Bibliographic description
Section
DOI
UDK 314.153
Article type
Annotation The paper analyzes the development trends of the demographic situation in the Trans-Baikal region. It forecasts the rate of births and deaths to 2020 and presents a factor analysis of the birthrate depending on the intensity measures of the state demographic policy and the number of women of childbearing age. It suggests that today demographers’ fears about a temporary birthrate increase thanks to pronatalist measures may be followed by a decrease are justified. The paper considers the population sex and age pyramid in the Trans-Baikal region and concludes that today’s young people aged 10–15 make up the smallest group of the population. The author determines the tendencies of the reproductive behavior, namely the improvement of living conditions will lead to some increase in the birthrate but changes in the needs for children can give much better results than improvement of living conditions.
Key words sex and age pyramid, adolescents, birthrate, reproductive behavior, demographic policy.
Article information
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Full articleDevelopment Trends of the Demographic Situation in the Trans-Baikal Region