| Article |
|---|
| Article name |
About one Forecasting Approach Forest Fire Conditions |
| Authors |
Nomokonova O.V. Candidate of Technical Science, Associate Professor, ovnom@mail.ru |
| Bibliographic description |
Nomokonova О. V. About one Forecasting Approach Forest Fire Conditions / / Scholarly Notes of Transbaikal State University. 2020. Vol. 15, No 3. PP. 117-121. DOI: 10.21209/2658- 7114-2020-15-3-117-121. |
| Section |
MATHEMATICAL MODELS. EXPERIMENT |
| UDK |
658.382 |
| DOI |
10.21209/2658-7114-2020-15-3-117-121 |
| Article type |
|
| Annotation |
A technique is proposed for predicting the conditions of forest fires, which allows you to
take preventive measures in advance to reduce losses from them. The forecast is based on the
concepts of fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic. This approach allows us to give a more accurate forecast
of weather conditions compared with extrapolation methods. As a result, a forecast is obtained
that simultaneously evaluates the \"pessimistic\"and \"optimistic\"ideas about the range of expected
values of the quantity in question.
|
| Key words |
forecasting problem, logical-probabilistic method, fuzzy sets, fuzzy logic |
| Article information |
|
| References |
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modelej. Primerv ispol’zovaniya. Riga: Zinantne 1990. 304 s.
2. Dvubua, D., Prad, A. Teoriva vozmozhnostej. Prilozheniva k predstavlenivu znanij v
informatike. M.: Radio i svvaz’. 1990. 228 s.
3. Zade, L. A. Ponvatie lingvisticheskoj peremennoj i ego primenenie k prinvativu
priblizhvonnyh reshenij: per. s angl. M.: Mir. 1976. 165 s.
4. Nomokonova, О. V. Primenenie nechvotkih mnozhestv v ocenke i prognozirovanii opasnvh
situacij: dis. ... kand. tekhn. nauk: 05.26.11. Chelyabinsk. 2003. 100 s. |
| Full article | About one Forecasting Approach Forest Fire Conditions |
